Recommendation: Take the Ravens at even money. Hammer ML and Spread if they go down.
In 2020, the Ravens are 1-0 after a loss with an attempt this week to double up on that record. In 2019, the team went 0-1 after a loss. With a limited sample size you can see the Ravens have not lost over the last 2 seasons.
In 2020, the Colts are 3-0 when playing at home and the Ravens are 3-0 when playing away. All 3 wins for the Colts came against teams with losing records — the Ravens are 5-2 / 3-0 Away. All 3 wins for the Ravens came against teams with losing records — the Colts are 5-2 / 3-0 Away. Something is going to give and we think the Ravens have enough offensive firepower to score at least 30 points while the defense locks in against Rivers who doesn’t have solid rapport with his WR core.
There was and is a risk of some Ravens players remaining on the Covid IR list. When Marlon Humphrey went on the Covid IR on Monday many Ravens were also on notice to be added due to contact tracing. As of 11/5 Judon has been removed from the IR list and will play. Harbaugh is confident all other Ravens will be good to go given no symptoms.
The Ravens lead the league in rushing averaging 178.7 yards/game. The Colts have the second best rush defense in the league giving up an average 79.9 yards/game. The Colts have not faced a dynamic mobile quarterback this season so look for Lamar to make a couple big plays on his legs to open rush lanes for his backs.
Look for the Ravens to start with a balanced attack and then lean on the run game late with a lead. If the Colts go down by more than 2 possessions they’ll be in a tough position with leading WR TY Hilton out. The leading pass catcher is RB Hines with 26 receptions – the leading receiver with Hilton out is Pascal with 19 receptions.
Week 9 – November 8, 2020
Line: Even | Over/Under: 48
Baltimore Ravens (5-2, 3-0 Away) at Indianapolis Colts (5-2, 3-0 Home)